Richmond Housing Report For July, 2012

August 6, 2012

Housing Report for Richmond, July 2012

Source: RealtyLink Online

Housing Type Active Listings July Sales Av. 3 mth No. Months Average Price
Detached 1185 60 79 14.96 $1,100,000
Townhouse 505 55 64 7.89 $495,000
Condominiums 1010 101 102 9.90 $345,000

Richmond detached homesRichmond townhousesRichmond condosJuly home sales in Richmond turned out to be worst than in June and the month before in May. The number of homes sold for the month was 216 which was 13% lower than the previous month sales of 248 homes. Active listings for detached homes, townhomes and condos/apartments in Richmond at the end of July, 2012 totalled 2,700 units, just 30 units shy of the previous month high of 2,730. Home sellers are faced with a dilemma, cutting prices more aggressively  to sell or to take their properties off the market. View Richmond homes for sale here.

The real estate market in Richmond deteriorated further at the end of July. The supply of homes now reached 11.02 months compared to the previous month of 9.93 months of supply. The higher ratio was due to lower average sales, although the total listings were around the same level as the month before. Some home sellers were making drastic price reductions and generous concessions in selling their homes. More homes were now listed and sold at prices significantly below their city assessment values for 2012.

Richmond real estate market outlook

The next few months are expected to remain lacklustre. The next few weeks and months would probably follow what happened in 2008. But, instead of a recovery like 2009, home sales could stayed low at current level with home prices declining. In Richmond, there could be a high probability of a price decline for detached and attached homes over the next few years.

“The biggest problem faced by home buyers are getting their mortgages approved. Canadian banks are now required to underwrite their mortgages based on borrowers’ ability to debt service their loans”.

The cascading effect of declining home prices will snowball, causing more home sellers to sell before home prices drop further.

Richmond detached homes over $1,000,000 are not seeing much buying interest. With total listings of 722 and average sale around 27 homes the past 2 months, there are 27 months supply of homes. For detached homes over $1,500,000, the past 2 month’s sale averaging 11 units against 361 listings, translates into 33 months supply of homes. The in-balance in supply and demand is massive especially for million dollar homes in Richmond. A price collapse in Richmond detached homes looks inevitable!

Sellers who need to sell will have to cut their prices more deeply to attract buyers. This could be the beginning of a real estate down cycle. The momentum will pick up when more sellers realize that a real estate downturn is in motion. This could take a few years for home prices in Richmond to reach a more sensible level.

Low mortgage rates to continue 

The current low mortgage rates at just over 3.00 for 5-year fixed rate mortgage are expected to remain at current levels for some time. You can use the link here to view homes available for sale in Richmond. For more information on Richmond real estate, you are welcome to contact James Wong at 604-721-4817 or send James an email.

months of inventory (MOI) is a ratio based on total supply against the average 3 months sale. A ratio of 6 MOI is considered a “market in balance” . A ratio much higher than 6 will result in home prices under pressure to go lower and a ratio much under 6 will result in home prices under pressure to go up.

Disclaimer: The writer assumes no liability whatsoever, for errors and/or omissions and any consequences arising either directly or indirectly from the use of information provided by this website. Any data provided are strictly for guidance and planning purposes only and may not be applicable due to ever changing market dynamics.

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